Translated with AI
Ukraine, European countries, and the United States have developed a multi-tiered plan of action in the event of Russia violating a future ceasefire agreement in the war with Ukraine. The Financial Times reported this on Tuesday, February 3, citing its own sources.
According to the publication, a coordinated military response by Europe and the United States is envisaged in the event of repeated Moscow violations of any future ceasefire agreement. The relevant agreements were reached during discussions involving Ukrainian, European, and American officials in Paris in December 2025 and Kyiv in January 2026.
Financial Times sources also reported that this issue was raised by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy during a meeting with US President Donald Trump in December 2025 at the Mar-a-Lago residence.
According to the agreed plan, if Russia violates the ceasefire within the first 24 hours, a diplomatic warning is provided, as well as the adoption of "any actions required from the Ukrainian army to stop this violation."
If fighting continues beyond this stage, the plan's second phase will be activated. It involves the intervention of Kyiv's allies from the so-called "coalition of the willing," which includes several European Union member states, as well as the United Kingdom, Norway, Iceland, and Türkiye.
If a ceasefire violation escalates into a full-scale attack, a coordinated military response involving Western forces, including the United States Armed Forces, is planned within 72 hours of the first recorded violation, the Financial Times notes.
At the same time, the publication notes that many details of the future ceasefire agreement remain unclear. Specifically, this concerns security guarantees for Ukraine from the United States, which, according to journalists, are tied to a long-term ceasefire, the parameters of which have not yet been fully determined.
Donald Trump previously offered Volodymyr Zelenskyy security guarantees for Ukraine, similar to those enshrined in Article 5 of the NATO Treaty, which provides for a collective response by allies to possible new Russian aggression. According to the Ukrainian leader, Trump proposed such guarantees for 15 years, while Kyiv insists on a longer period—up to 50 years.
Last week, Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced that the security agreement with the United States envisages increasing the size of the Ukrainian army to 800,000 troops, equipping it with Western weaponry, and training Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel. According to the Financial Times, the Ukrainian president intends to sign the corresponding agreement with Washington by February 24, 2026, the four-year anniversary of the full-scale Russian invasion. Zelenskyy believes such an agreement could give Kyiv additional leverage in negotiations with Moscow and secure long-term support from Donald Trump.
The Financial Times also previously reported that the Trump administration made it clear to the Ukrainian side that US security guarantees would be contingent on Kyiv's agreement to a peace agreement, which, in all likelihood, would include Ukraine's renunciation of Donbas in favor of the Russian Federation.
In late January, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced that the United States and Europe had reached a consensus on security guarantees for Ukraine. However, he added, the issue of territories in the country's east remains unresolved.
It was also specified that the agreement under discussion provides for the deployment of a limited contingent of troops, primarily British and French, on Ukrainian territory.
