Translated with AI
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) predicts that average global temperatures will reach record levels in the next five years. According to a new report from the organization, the period from 2026 to 2030 could be the hottest on record.
Experts estimate that the average annual temperature in 2026–2030 will exceed the average pre-industrial level of 1850–1900 by 1.3–1.9 degrees.
The WMO also estimates that the probability of the global average temperature exceeding pre-industrial levels by 1.5 degrees Celsius is 75 percent. This is the target set as the long-term target under the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement.
According to meteorologists, there is an 86 percent chance that one of the years between 2026 and 2030 will be the warmest on record, surpassing the temperature record set in 2024. Experts believe 2027 is the most likely year to break the record, due to the influence of the El Niño climate phenomenon.
The report also notes that over the next five winters, Arctic temperatures could average 2.8 degrees Celsius above the 1991–2020 period.
Experts are paying special attention to Northern Europe. According to their forecasts, the region could face very wet winters over the next five years. Meteorologists consider this a key climate risk, as such conditions increase the likelihood of flooding.
The WMO therefore expects global temperatures to continue to rise and warns of increased climate risks in certain regions of the world in the coming years.
