Translated with AI
Tajikistan's economy will continue to demonstrate sustainable growth rates: according to forecasts from experts at the Eurasian Fund for Stabilization and Development (EFSD), the country's real gross domestic product (GDP) will increase by 6.7% by 2027.
According to preliminary estimates, in the first quarter of 2025, GDP growth was 8.2%, which is in line with the same period in 2024. The fund's analysts named increased consumer demand, growth in export volumes, an increase in real wages of the population, as well as active remittances from labor migrants as key factors that influenced economic growth.
The statistical data is based on the dynamics of output in the real sector, including the volume of retail trade and paid services to the population.
Despite the overall positive development, in the first quarter of 2025, the volume of investment in fixed assets decreased by 10.1%. Analysts attribute this decrease mainly to a decrease in investment in the electric power sector and mining.
However, the situation changed in April. Thanks to a significant increase in investment in the cultural, sports and recreation sectors, as well as the restoration of investment in energy, the total volume of investment in fixed assets increased by 10.6% in the first four months of 2025.
The fund's experts believe that the continued growth of GDP is ensured by structural reforms, active investment policy, and a stable consumer sector. These factors, along with the improvement of the foreign economic situation, will allow Tajikistan to maintain high rates of economic growth in the coming years.
